Out in Colorado, it appears that more than half of registered voters voted before Election Day. The results from those votes haven’t been released yet, of course, but the partisan breakdown of early voters has been:
Now, it’s possible that Republicans are overrepresented among early voters compared to all voters (though the conventional wisdom says pretty much the opposite). It’s also entirely possible that those party ID numbers will hold true for the entire Colorado electorate but Obama will win independents and take more GOP votes than McCain takes from Dems, giving Obama a decent margin of victory (say, at least three points). But from this number taken alone it looks like things are setting up for a pretty close contest out there. And, just maybe, if GOP’ers are underrepresented among early voters…
But I’m getting way, way ahead of myself.
Now where the hell are those exit poll numbers?
2:54pm Update: Regarding the exit poll numbers and the usual sources that leak them, at this point it looks like no one has nothin’.
6:04pm Update: Gawker claims to have the first state-by-state exit poll data out there. Not worth too much, I’m sure, but if it’s worth anything at all it looks pretty decent for McCain, assuming GOP voters are indeed underrepresented in the numbers : PA Obama +4, VA Obama +2, NC McCain +2, FL Obama +1, OH Obama +1. (Hat tip: The Corner.)