Thursday, July 24, 2008

Two Points

According to the latest Gallup tracking poll, that’s the margin of Obama’s lead over McCain at the moment, at 45 to 43 percent.  The margin of error is plus or minus 2 points. Over the past month, Obama’s margin has varied by a few points (probably due just as much to the natural tendency of poll numbers to bounce around a bit as any real changes in public opinion) and McCain hasn’t lead in any poll, but Obama’s margin hasn’t exceeded six points.  Considering that McCain hasn’t really landed any good blows against Obama recently (at least in my opinion) and that press coverage of Obama’s campaign is still considerably more favorable than the coverage McCain is receiving the narrowness of Obama’s lead at this point ought to be a cause for some concern for the Obama camp and a cause for some optimism for the McCain folks.

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