The opening paragraphs of a report posted on the New York Times Politics Blog:
DES MOINES — If Republican turnout today is 80,000 or above, Mitt Romney’s campaign could be in trouble, according to Doug Gross, Mr. Romney’s Iowa campaign chairman.
That would mean evangelical turnout is higher than expected, with the vast majority of those votes likely going to Mr. Romney’s rival, Mike Huckabee, a former Baptist minister who has clearly benefited from evangelical unease about Mr. Romney’s Mormon faith, as well as the fact that until several years ago he was a supporter of abortion rights.
(Hat tip to The Page.)
In any event, the time for speculation and guessing is nearly done: the GOP caucuses in most Iowa precincts should now be underway.