Monday, January 28, 2008

Rudy's Last Stand

With Rudy's poll numbers continuing to decline, his wait 'till Florida/Super Tuesday strategy clearly failing, and one day left until the Florida primary, the end is in sight for the Giuliani campaign.  NRO's Byron York reports on Rudy in Florida here.  One striking passage from the piece:

The RealClearPolitics average of polls counted 41 surveys taken in Florida between February 25, 2007 and December 2, 2007. Giuliani led in every one of them, by margins as high as 23 points. And not just a long time ago — in one CNN survey taken in the last week of November, Giuliani led by 21 points. And yet today — 60 days later — Giuliani is nearly 10 points behind the frontrunners.

On another note, a plurality of  the Florida voters who have left Rudy have apparently gone to McCain, and that trend will likely continue if Rudy's support declines further today and tomorrow, as seems likely.  Will that be enough to put McCain in first place tomorrow night?  In this cycle, who knows.

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